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April 2026

Treasury Auctions and Future Returns Part 2
The impact of the bid-to-cover ratio from Treasury auctions on the U.S. Dollar and U.S. equities
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Recent Academic Research
Changing returns from raw to standardized, bitcoin ETF flow impacts, safe haven assets, and the inherent convexity in the S&P 500
 • Alpha in Academia
Treasury Auctions and Future Returns
The impact of the bid-to-cover ratio on the U.S. Treasury Market
 • Alpha in Academia
Recent Academic Research
Expert forecasts on AI impact, earnings strategy from prediction market information, importance of climate risk, and an improved bond model
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Recent Academic Research
Return seasonality, horizon specific drawdown indicators, earnings versus economic growth, and quantifying diplomatic sentiment flows
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Modeling Prediction Markets As Exotic Options Part 2
[WITH CODE] Building a dashboard and fair value model for temperature derivatives
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Recent Academic Research
Company disclosures impact returns, portfolio weighting in trend following, prediction markets as an indicator for crypto volatility, and stock…
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Modeling Prediction Markets As Exotic Options Part 1
[WITH CODE] Showcasing the option Greek profiles for exotic options
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March 2026

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